Nate Silver on X: "The direction of polling error in recent years:* 2008: Unbiased* 2010: Unbiased* 2012: R bias* 2014: D bias* 2016: D bias* 2018: Unbiased* 2020: Even bigger D bias* 2022: Unbiased* 2024: D bias, less than 2016/2020* 2025 (e.g. NJ/VA): Big R bias" / X | Zootzle